Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243856           3          13          55          24           5        C3.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116798           3           1          67          27           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.25262e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            60           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             2.50        7.75       52.00       32.00        5.75     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5