Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247800           1           5          63          27           4        C5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00122727           1           1          67          28           3        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   1.68095e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            76           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             0.75        4.00       53.50       35.50        6.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M3.8