Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249692           1           3          63          32           1        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00126115           1           3          63          31           2        C5.3
GOES Xray  =   1.79660e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            98           1           1          68          25           5        C5.9
 
together                             0.75        2.00       54.75       36.75        5.75     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9