Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00256851           1           4          64          26           5        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00138517           1           0          60          34           5        C7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.46703e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           133           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.00       50.25       40.00        8.00     C9.2
 
realized                                                                                      M8.9