Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00255070           1           2          67          27           3        C4.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00135991           1           0          63          32           4        C6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.19891e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           130           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.50        0.75       51.75       39.75        7.25     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      M4.7