Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253035           1           0          66          28           5        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00133327           2           0          64          29           5        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   2.02858e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           155           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        0.25       51.75       39.25        8.00     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      M7.3