Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00278086           1           1          57          36           5        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00173227           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   4.76698e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           140           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        0.75       50.75       40.50        7.25     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      X1.1