Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00257001           1           4          65          25           5        C5.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139581           1           0          61          33           5        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   2.27493e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           105           1           1          65          26           7        C6.4
 
together                             1.00        1.25       54.00       35.75        8.00     C8.3
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1