Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243826           3          13          55          24           5        C3.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115883           3           2          71          23           1        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.27713e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            99           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             2.00        4.00       54.50       33.00        6.50     C7.3
 
realized                                                                                      M4.8