Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242823           3          14          62          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00114597           2           3          73          20           2        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.20243e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.75        8.75       56.25       28.00        5.25     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1