Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245362           3          14          51          25           7        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119065           1           6          61          30           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.39164e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.25       10.75       49.75       30.75        6.50     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C6.2