Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00254009           1           1          68          25           5        C4.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00132968           2           0          65          28           5        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   2.32064e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            92           1           0          76          18           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.00        0.50       58.50       32.50        7.50     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      M7.4