Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00249174           1           3          64          30           2        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00125597           1           3          61          33           2        C5.9
GOES Xray  =   1.79900e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           115           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
 
together                             0.75        1.50       50.00       41.25        6.50     C9.0
 
realized                                                                                      C6.3