Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246724           3          14          55          22           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120800           1           4          61          30           4        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.62725e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.25        4.75       50.50       35.75        7.75     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3