Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248572           1           3          59          34           3        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124261           1           1          63          31           4        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   1.66688e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           101           1           1          67          26           5        C5.5
 
together                             1.00        1.25       53.50       37.50        6.75     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      C9.1