Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243429           3          17          54          21           5        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115564           3           3          73          19           2        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   1.28071e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.50        8.75       53.25       29.50        6.00     C5.8
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1