Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00245319           3          16          50          24           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117199           3           2          67          26           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.52888e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             2.00        4.50       50.75       35.25        7.50     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      M6.7