Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242538           1          14          62          20           3        C3.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107681           2          13          67          16           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.25787e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            98           1           1          68          25           5        C5.9
 
together                             1.25        7.00       55.50       30.00        6.25     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      M7.6