Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242059           2          15          61          18           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106965           2          15          61          19           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.31215e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            90           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50        7.50       55.25       29.00        6.75     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      M7.5