Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242511           1          14          62          20           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107878           2          12          66          17           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   1.29522e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             1.00        7.50       53.25       32.00        6.25     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      M2.0