Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242260           1          13          62          20           4        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110289           2          12          64          15           7        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.13833e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.25       10.75       54.00       27.25        6.75     C4.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9