Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247662           1           6          64          25           4        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119323           1           5          61          30           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.60946e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.00        2.75       54.75       34.75        6.75     C7.2
 
realized                                                                                      M3.3