Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253243           1           0          64          30           5        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00128300           2           2          63          30           3        C6.4
GOES Xray  =   2.22407e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            99           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.00        1.00       54.75       36.25        7.00     C8.3
 
realized                                                                                      M3.6