Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239855           1          13          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104042           3          19          53          20           5        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.02556e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.50       10.00       53.00       31.00        4.50     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C9.5