Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239134           3          16          58          21           2        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102730           3          17          55          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   9.01165e-07           1           0          48          44           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             2.00        8.25       58.25       27.75        3.75     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.7