Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239144           3          16          58          21           2        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104493           2          17          58          19           4        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   8.45196e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             2.00       12.00       57.50       24.25        4.25     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1