Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239919           2          13          61          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106003           2          14          59          20           5        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   9.20825e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             1.50        7.50       57.50       28.50        5.00     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1