Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00247265           2           9          62          22           5        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120225           1           4          63          29           3        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   1.49404e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           107           1           0          60          32           7        C8.2
 
together                             0.75        3.75       52.50       35.50        7.50     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      C5.0