Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244614           4          13          54          24           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115469           3           3          73          19           2        C4.6
GOES Xray  =   1.25815e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            81           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             2.50        4.25       53.75       32.50        7.00     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5