Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241441           3          16          63          16           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109503           2          14          64          14           6        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   9.91766e-07           1           0          34          55          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             2.25       12.25       57.00       23.25        5.25     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C5.2