Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241867           2          15          63          16           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109791           2          13          65          13           7        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.12450e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            34           7          47          35          11           0        B8.9
 
together                             3.00       18.75       47.00       24.75        6.50     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0