Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241805           2          14          63          17           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108564           3          14          65          16           2        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   1.15151e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             2.50       12.75       53.75       25.25        5.75     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      X1.1