Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244564           4          13          54          24           5        C4.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110569           3          10          65          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.88316e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.50       10.50       51.50       28.25        7.25     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9