Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241573           3          17          62          15           3        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106948           2          15          61          19           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.22067e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            86           1           0          61          32           6        C7.0
 
together                             1.75        8.00       52.25       31.25        6.75     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2