Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241612           2          16          63          16           3        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107384           2          13          65          17           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.14269e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             1.75        7.50       52.75       31.25        6.75     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      C8.0