Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242199           2          14          60          20           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108293           3          13          64          18           2        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   1.19205e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =            94           1           0          69          25           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.75        6.75       54.50       30.50        6.50     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4