Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00244959           4          13          52          24           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00113247           3           4          70          18           5        C5.5
GOES Xray  =   1.54038e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           106           1           1          63          28           7        C6.9
 
together                             2.25        4.50       52.50       32.25        8.50     C8.2
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0