Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242816           3          14          62          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109946           2          13          64          14           7        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.18520e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           102           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.75        7.00       54.25       29.50        7.50     C5.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9