Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237991           5          25          56          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100718           1          16          56          24           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.20443e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            53           1          17          63          18           1        C2.5
 
together                             1.75       14.50       57.00       23.00        3.75     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C8.1