Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238013           5          26          56          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101231           1          16          57          23           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   8.06377e-07           1           0          53          38           8        C8.6
est. ISN   =            60           3          17          61          18           1        C3.2
 
together                             2.25       14.75       57.00       22.75        3.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.6