Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240525           3          13          63          18           3        C3.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106501           2          15          62          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   9.81758e-07           1           0          36          54           9        M1.2
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             1.75        8.75       57.25       28.25        4.00     C4.9
 
realized                                                                                      C4.3