Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240843           3          13          68          14           2        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00107146           2          15          62          18           3        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   1.00539e-06           1           0          31          59           9        M1.3
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75        9.25       55.00       29.75        4.25     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.0