Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242180           2          13          62          19           4        C2.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00109940           2          13          64          14           7        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   1.12161e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =           106           1           1          63          28           7        C6.9
 
together                             1.50        6.75       53.50       30.00        8.25     C6.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3