Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241151           3          13          66          16           2        C2.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108693           3          15          65          14           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   9.74639e-07           1           0          37          52          10        M1.2
est. ISN   =            90           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             2.00        7.00       60.50       25.50        5.00     C4.7
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9