Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239154           3          16          58          21           2        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106559           2          15          62          18           3        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   8.14552e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =           102           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.50        8.00       59.75       26.00        4.75     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7