Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239854           1          13          62          22           2        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00106866           2          13          62          20           3        C3.8
GOES Xray  =   8.83019e-07           1           0          48          46           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =            74           1           8          55          33           3        C6.6
 
together                             1.00        8.50       57.00       30.25        3.25     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1