Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236725           1          30          59           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000997953           2          17          53          25           3        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   6.84076e-07           1           0          57          36           6        C8.6
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             1.25       16.25       58.50       21.00        3.00     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      M2.0