Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237459           2          26          60          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100227           1          17          56          24           2        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   8.01920e-07           1           0          53          38           8        C8.6
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             2.00       14.25       57.25       23.00        3.50     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3