Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236495           2          30          58           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000987401           3          19          52          23           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   6.79763e-07           1           0          57          37           5        C8.6
est. ISN   =            57           2          20          62          15           1        C2.7
 
together                             2.00       17.25       57.25       20.75        2.75     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.5