Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236769           1          29          58          10           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000988202           2          18          53          24           3        C2.9
GOES Xray  =   7.88332e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =            50           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             1.25       15.50       58.50       21.50        3.25     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0